Calibrated probability assessment
id:
calibrated-probability-assessment-283-8797310
title:
Calibrated probability assessment
text:
Calibrated probability assessments are subjective probabilities assigned by individuals who have been trained to assess probabilities in a way that historically represents their uncertainty. For example, when a person has calibrated a situation and says they are "80% confident" in each of 100 predictions they made, they will get about 80% of them correct. Likewise, they will be right 90% of the time they say they are 90% certain, and so on. Calibration training improves subjective probabilities
brand slug:
wiki
category slug:
encyclopedia
description:
Subjective probabilities assigned in a way that historically represents their uncertainty
original url:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calibrated_probability_assessment
date created:
date modified:
2023-05-11T21:49:57Z
main entity:
{"identifier":"Q5019831","url":"https://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q5019831"}
image:
fields total:
13
integrity:
14